Westminster Policy News & Legislative Analysis

UK sets 2.5% defence spend by 2027 and 13 munitions sites

Defence Secretary John Healey used a speech at 9 Downing Street on 19 November to set out a security assessment and a programme of action. He confirmed the Royal Navy and RAF had tracked the Russian vessel Yantar on the edge of UK waters north of Scotland between 5 and 11 November, alleging the ship directed light lasers at RAF P‑8 pilots. The Ministry of Defence said a frigate and maritime patrol aircraft monitored the vessel throughout.

Healey framed the UK’s operating environment as a “new era of threat”, citing the Iran‑Israel conflict, the brief armed clashes between India and Pakistan in May, suspected Chinese espionage, increased Russian activity and a spate of airport closures across Europe linked to drone sightings. Independent reporting confirms the May ceasefire that ended the India‑Pakistan flare‑up, while several European airports-including Copenhagen, Oslo, Munich and Alicante-have experienced drone‑related disruptions this autumn. The Ministry of Defence also reports more than 90,000 hostile cyber attempts against Defence networks over two years.

On funding, the government’s position is now fixed: defence spending will rise to 2.5% of GDP from April 2027, with an ambition to reach 3% in the next Parliament subject to economic and fiscal conditions. This accelerates an April 2024 plan that had targeted 2030. Treasury material indicates an interim uplift next year, with ministers arguing that national security is the organising principle of government.

Industrial capacity is being expanded. The MoD has identified at least 13 potential sites for a new network of energetics and munitions plants, with ground‑breaking expected on the first site next year. The Strategic Defence Review (SDR) set aside £1.5bn this Parliament for an ‘always‑on’ munitions pipeline and committed to building at least six new factories, with ministers forecasting at least 1,000 jobs. A Planned Procurement Note outlining energetics requirements is being issued to industry.

Two new drone facilities are also being opened this week: Helsing’s under‑sea and surface ‘resilience factory’ in Plymouth and a STARK production line in Swindon. In parallel, government has created UK Defence Innovation with £400m this year and ring‑fenced 10% of the MoD equipment budget for novel technologies to shorten acquisition timelines.

Procurement and governance reform underpin the spend. The SDR confirms a new Military Strategic Headquarters, a National Armaments Director with an £11bn annual ‘Invest’ budget, the end of the Levene model and consolidation from ten to four budget centres. Defence expects nearly £6bn of savings over the Parliament and promises “radical reforms” to a procurement system repeatedly criticised by Parliament.

Personnel measures feature heavily. Service pay rose by 6% in 2024-the largest award in 22 years-followed by a 4.5% uplift in 2025. The government has also completed the buy‑back of 36,347 military family homes from Annington, ending a £230m annual rent bill and enabling a housing renewal plan that the Wales Office now pegs at £9bn over the next decade.

Ministers link this spending to a “defence dividend” for UK industry. Since July 2024, the MoD says it has signed around 1,000 major contracts, 86% with UK‑based firms, and recorded about £1.7bn in inward investment. Flagship export deals include Norway’s £10bn selection of UK Type 26 warships and Türkiye’s order of 20 Typhoon jets worth up to £8bn. Officials say around 70% of defence jobs are outside London and the South East.

Allied posture remains “NATO‑first”. The UK has chaired meetings of the Ukraine Defence Contact Group and co‑chairs capability coalitions; it has also launched the UK‑Germany Trinity House Agreement, including a jointly developed >2,000km deep‑precision strike system, and refreshed the UK‑France Lancaster House framework with expanded missile cooperation.

Operationally, the Yantar episode keeps undersea infrastructure resilience in focus. Healey said the ship is part of Russia’s programme designed for peacetime surveillance and potential sabotage in crisis; additional reporting indicates the UK has tightened naval monitoring procedures in response. The SDR also allocates up to £1bn for homeland air and missile defence and creates a new CyberEM Command to counter daily sub‑threshold activity.

Implications for policy and industry are immediate. Energetics suppliers should prepare for multi‑year orders and capital investment aligned to the MoD’s Planned Procurement Note. Local authorities in the listed counties can expect planning activity linked to the ‘factories of the future’. Workforce pipelines-apprenticeships, STEM skills and lateral entry in cyber-will be critical to delivery and will influence regional labour markets.

For practitioners, the centre of gravity is shifting from episodic procurement to sustained production and rapid iteration, backed by a medium‑term funding path to 2027 and structural reform. The test will be execution: whether reforms cut time‑to‑fielding, whether industrial capacity scales on schedule, and whether NATO‑oriented commitments translate into assured stockpiles at home.